Modeling the economic effect of a Trump victory: New feature in PassportPublished by Mark Bodnar
Back in August, I mentioned Macro Model, a new macroeconomic modeling tool in our Passport database that allows you to model the effect of major events (e.g., a Disorderly Brexit or a recession in China) on various national economies (see: Modeling major economic events for your strategic planning).
I couldn't resist a quick update: As of today, the Macro Model tool now includes a Donald Trump scenario among the events that you can build into your modeling.
(Spoiler: Euromonitor assigns a 10-20% probability to a Trump victory in November, and they predict that event would cause a downturn on several key economic measures in the US. And, since when the US sneezes, we get a cold, the effects on the Canadian economy aren't that pretty either.)
P.S.: Note: The Macro Model tool can be a bit slow loading. Be patient, it's worth the wait.
Economics & Business Librarian